'MO' 'AMGN' 'BCR' 'BDX' 'CVS' 'CPB' 'CLX' 'ED'
'FDO' 'GIS' 'HRL' 'JNJ' 'K' 'KMB' 'LH' 'MKC'
'MCD' 'PEP' 'PG' 'RAI' 'SO' 'WEC'
Although I recommend a portfolio composition every week, it is desirable to maintain this composition for four weeks, and then rebalance with the new composition.
The main difference respect to the last-month portfolio composition is the purchase of ‘CLX’. The turnover from last month is 9% (due to the portfolio growth and the purchase of that company).Regarding the performance, over the last year (52 weeks), the strategy attained a volatility of 10% (versus 17% of the S&P 500).
The weekly 95%-VaR was 2.5% (versus 4.2% of the S&P 500).
The last year annualized Sharpe ratio of the low-vol strategy was 1.40 (after proportional transaction costs of 40 bps were discounted). On the other hand, the SR of the S&P 500 was 0.86 over the same period.
The next graph shows the risk-return space for the two considered portfolios.
Each blue point represents the mean return and volatility of the low-vol portfolio over the past 52 weeks. On the other hand, each red point represents the mean return and volatility of the S&P 500 index over the same 52 past weeks.
We can see the low-vol portfolio has a mean return very similar to that of the S&P 500, but its volatility is much better.
I have computed the same risk-return space for every week over the last year, using the same 52-weeks historical method to estimate the mean returns and the volatilities. The low-vol portfolio attained a higher return (60% of the time) than that of the S&P 500. Moreover, the volatility of the low-vol portfolio was always less than that of the S&P 500.
As a summary, the low-volatility strategy dominates the market index most of the time, showing it attains consistently better risk-adjusted returns.